Corrections
Every correction, clarification, update and grade of my published work, newest first. Nothing is deleted.
How corrections work
- When I get something wrong, I say so here and next to the mistake.
- A factual error is always called a correction, never an update.
- Typos and formatting fixes are not listed. They do not change a piece's date.
- I acknowledge every report and publish the outcome of every check.
- Nothing is deleted from this log. A wrong entry gets a new entry that points back to it. Only a legal removal takes a page down, and it leaves a notice.
Open reviews
No open reviews.
The log
October 2026
Resolution
Lab I sealed a forecast before Brazil voted. Here it is.
Added the official result and the grade. The sealed forecast is unchanged.
Correction Minor
Lab I sealed a forecast before Brazil voted. Here it is.
Correction (2026-10-25, 20:30): this page went live at 17:05, when the polls were scheduled to close. A court order issued after publication extended voting to 19:00. The sealed forecast and its proofs predate both times.
Entry types
| Type | What it means | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Correction | A fact, number, quote or attribution was wrong. | 1 |
| Clarification | The facts were right, but the wording misled. | 0 |
| Update | New information arrived. Nothing was wrong. | 0 |
| Resolution | A sealed forecast was graded, or a verdict was graded again on new evidence. | 1 |
| Retraction | The core finding does not stand. | 0 |
| Removal | Taken down for legal reasons. The page keeps a notice. | 0 |
| Reviewed, unchanged | A challenge was examined, and nothing changed. | 0 |