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<title>Vinarise: Prakiraan (id)</title>
<link>https://vinarise.com/id/topics/forecasting</link>
<description>Prakiraan yang disegel sebelum hasilnya keluar dan dinilai sesudahnya. Prakiraan pemilu di sini tidak memihak siapa pun.</description>
<language>id</language>
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<title>In Brazil&#x27;s last three presidential runoffs, nearly all zero-vote sections were zeros for the PL side</title>
<link>https://vinarise.com/id/lab/2026/10/zero-vote-sections-2026-runoff</link>
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<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 10:49:36 GMT</pubDate>
<description>A study found 106 polling sections where Flávio Bolsonaro got no votes in the 2026 runoff. I rebuilt the count from the public files, compared it with 2018 and 2022, and set out what those files can and cannot show.</description>
<category>Prakiraan</category>
</item>
<item>
<title>Saya menyegel prakiraan sebelum Brasil memilih. Ini dia.</title>
<link>https://vinarise.com/id/lab/2026/10/brazil-2026-runoff-forecast</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 20:05:00 GMT</pubDate>
<description>Model saya memberi Flávio Bolsonaro peluang 85 persen untuk mengalahkan Lula. Memilih unggulan justru bagian yang mudah. Hasil resmi, porsi Flávio dari suara sah: 48,215%. Tidak berguna. Aturannya: skor Brier di bawah 0,25 milik lempar koin dan hasil di dalam interval 80%. Setidaknya satu tidak terpenuhi.</description>
<category>Prakiraan</category>
<category>Dunia</category>
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